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President Biden quoted a highly misleading statistic that in fact suggests the COVID-19 vaccines are failing badly in the United States in his September 9, 2021 on the COVID Pandemic Response. Short video and article on this misleading statistic.

Article: http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/article-president-bidens-misleading-covid-math/
Article TinyURL: https://tinyurl.com/57r85k4

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A brief followup to my video/article on the rationality of conspiracy theories. It is a common belief among intellectuals that "conspiracy theories" are inherently irrational or so unlikely as to be essentially inherently irrational. About 5-10 percent of "serial killer" cases involve murders committed by two or more people, a conspiracy. This is a quick and partial check on the official 14.7 percent of all murders in 2019 committed by multiple offenders, a conspiracy, according to the US FBI. Official numbers, including FBI and DOJ numbers, have been found to be misleading in a number of cases -- hence independent checks are warranted.

"Conspiracy Theory" and Serial Killer Conspiracies Article: http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/article-conspiracy-theory-and-serial-killer-conspiracies/

Are Conspiracy Theories Inherently Irrational? Article: http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/article-are-conspiracy-theories-inherently-irrational/

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The belief common among intellectuals that "conspiracy theories" are inherently irrational or so unlikely as to be essentially inherently irrational is demonstrably false.

Are Conspiracy Theories Inherently Irrational Article: http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/article-are-conspiracy-theories-inherently-irrational/

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Short video on Afghanistan, the abiogenic oil hypothesis, and the remarkable failure of the US to build a natural gas pipeline from Turkmenistan through Afghanistan and Pakistan to the Indian Ocean despite spending at least one trillion dollars and twenty (20) years of military occupation of the country -- a pipeline that would be a win win proposition for just about everyone! Incompetence or a hidden agenda to boost world energy prices?

Deep Hot Biosphere by Thomas Gold: https://www.amazon.com/Deep-Hot-Biosphere-Fossil-Fuels/dp/0387985468

Oil and natural gas on Mars: http://jmcgowan.com/oil_spie.pdf

My interview on Martian Methane, abiogenic oil, and the origin of life: http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/interview-about-martian-methane-and-life-on-event-horizon-show/

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The Provincetown, Massachusetts (Cape Cod, Barnstable County) COVID-19 outbreak does NOT prove that the COVID-19 vaccines are working as widely claimed in the mainstream media. (See the CDC Report “Outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Infections, Including COVID-19 Vaccine Breakthrough Infections, Associated with Large Public Gatherings — Barnstable County, Massachusetts,” https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/pdfs/mm7031e2-H.pdf)

Article: http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/article-us-cdc-provincetown-covid-19-outbreak-data-does-not-show-vaccines-work/

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The July 30, 2021 CDC report on an outbreak of COVID-19 (delta variant) in Barnstable County, Massachusetts (July 6-25, 2021) used to justify guidance for vaccinated persons to wear masks indoors appears to indicate the COVID vaccines failed to reduce either the rate of infection with COVID in the vaccinated or the hospitalization rate if infected, contrary to widespread statements in the mass media by public health authorities and others. Although there are some possible if improbable explanations, no explanation for this seeming contradiction appears to be present in the report.

Outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Infections, Including COVID-19 Vaccine Breakthrough Infections, Associated with Large Public Gatherings — Barnstable County, Massachusetts, July 2021
Brown et al
Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
Early Release / Vol. 70 July 30, 2021
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/pdfs/mm7031e2-H.pdf

Relevant Number from Report:

cases of COVID-19 associated with multiple summer events and large public gatherings in a town in Barnstable County, Massachusetts (July 6-25, 2021) 469
vaccination coverage among eligible Massachusetts residents 69.00%
cases in fully vaccinated 346 73.77%
cases in unvaccinated, which may include partially vaccinated and recently vaccinated (less than 14 days since final shot) 123 26.23%
number of vaccinated hospitalized 4
number of unvaccinated hospitalized 1

hospitalization rate of vaccinated infected with COVID-19 1.16%
hospitalization rate of unvaccinated infected with COVID-19 0.81%

Number of cases sequenced 133
Number of cases with B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant 120 90.23%

Number of symptomatic vaccinated cases 274
Number of symptomatic unvaccinated cases ?

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Short video on the scientific uncertainty excuse where scientists sell often expensive risky programs by implicitly or explicitly claiming unwarranted high levels of certainty, followed by invoking the uncertainty of science, new knowledge or data, when the program fails to deliver as advertised, frequently ridiculing the disappointed public as ignorant of "science" despite the previous implied high certainty. Recent examples from the COVID-19 pandemic and Operation Warp Speed are discussed as prominent examples of this long standing questionable practice by scientists.

More details on the questionable handling of errors and uncertainty by the US CDC may be found here:

https://authorea.com/users/425106/articles/530705-improving-cdc-data-practices-recommendations-for-improving-the-united-states-centers-for-disease-control-cdc-data-practices-for-pneumonia-influenza-and-covid-19

John F. McGowan, Ph.D., Tam Hunt, Josh Mitteldorf. Improving CDC Data Practices Recommendations for Improving the United States Centers for Disease Control (CDC) Data Practices for Pneumonia, Influenza, and COVID-19. Authorea. July 19, 2021.
DOI: 10.22541/au.162671168.86830026/v1

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Video on new preprint "Improving CDC Data Practices"

John F. McGowan, Ph.D., Tam Hunt, Josh Mitteldorf. Improving CDC Data Practices Recommendations for Improving the United States Centers for Disease Control (CDC) Data Practices for Pneumonia, Influenza, and COVID-19. Authorea. July 19, 2021.
DOI: 10.22541/au.162671168.86830026/v1

http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/article-improving-cdc-data-practices-recommendations-for-improving-the-united-states-centers-for-disease-control-cdc-data-practices-for-pneumonia-influenza-and-covid-19/

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How to Sterilize Groceries with a UV Light and Your Refrigerator

Video shows how to sterilize groceries (or other items) with a UV light and your refrigerator.

NOTE: UV light can be dangerous. UV light can damage your eyes and skin. Prolonged exposure may cause skin cancer. Wear safety goggles, protective clothing, and minimize any exposure to UV light. Hopefully in future videos I will show how to turn on the UV light only when the refrigerator is completely closed. Wear gloves as shown in the video to protect from viruses and bacteria when handling the groceries or other items to be sterilized and to protect hands from the UV light.

A UV light with an ON/OFF switch on the power cord outside the refrigerator can be turned ON/OFF inside the refrigerator without exposure to the UV light. An RF (radio) remote control may be able to turn a UV light ON/OFF inside the closed refrigerator, unlike a standard IR (infrared) remote control.

Items mentioned:

ROHS UV "Corn Lamp": https://www.amazon.com/Sanitizer-Disinfection-Germicidal-Restaurant-Supermarket/dp/B08LG9TX48/ref=sr_1_20?crid=1IEXUQM2MVD8O&dchild=1&keywords=uv+light+sanitizer&qid=1625589690&sprefix=uv+light+san%2Caps%2C265&sr=8-20

UV Safety Goggles: https://www.amazon.com/Tool-Klean-Safety-Glasses-Protection/dp/B081BHTJT8/ref=sr_1_2?dchild=1&keywords=uv+safety+goggles&qid=1625589772&sr=8-2

We don't receive any sponsorship or consideration from the makers of the items demonstrated. There are many UV lights and many brands of UV protective eyewear and clothing. Do your own research and choose the best items for you.

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###

HOW TO COPY AND PASTE DATA TABLES INTO WORKING PYTHON CODE WITH EMACS HOTKEY

Video shows how to select, copy, and paste text data tables into working Python code with the Emacs text and code editor's rectangle mode and an EMACS hotkey.

EMACS HOTKEY CODE SHOWN: http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/code-functions-to-convert-a-text-data-table-to-working-python-code-in-emacs/

The Emacs text and code editor has a built in rectangle mode for selecting, copying, pasting, and maniuplating rectangular regions in text since Emacs 24.

https://www.gnu.org/software/emacs/manual/html_node/emacs/Rectangles.html

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###

HOW TO COPY AND PASTE DATA TABLES INTO WORKING PYTHON CODE WITH EMACS

Video shows how to select, copy, and paste text data tables into working Python code with the Emacs text and code editor's rectangle mode and emacs regular expressions (regexp).

The Emacs text and code editor has a built in rectangle mode for selecting, copying, pasting, and maniuplating rectangular regions in text since Emacs 24.

https://www.gnu.org/software/emacs/manual/html_node/emacs/Rectangles.html

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Video on how to select, copy, cut and paste data tables in LibreOffice Writer, a free, open-source "clone" of Microsoft Word.

Use ALT-(mouse drag) to select rectangular regions/columns in LibreOffice Writer. OR use Edit Menu | Selection Mode | Block Area

Use Table Menu | Convert | Text to Table or Table to Text to convert between simple text tables and LibreOffice Writer table objects.

Libre Office URL: https://www.libreoffice.org/

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This is a short video on how to extract data tables from PDF documents
using the camelot Python package.

Camelot Project URL: https://pypi.org/project/camelot-py/

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Short video on how to select, copy, cut and paste data tables (columns, rectangular regions) in the popular Vim programming editor.

Use:

CTRL-V to activate the visual block rectangle/column selection mode to select a rectangular region such as a data table.

Copy with y for yank

Position cursor at destination. Use Escape key to enter command mode, press p key to paste.

Cut with d for delete

Position cursor at destination. Use Escape key to enter command mode, press p key to paste.

Vim: https://www.vim.org/

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Locals (Video): https://mathematicalsoftware.locals.com/
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Short video on how to select, copy, cut and paste data tables (columns, rectangular regions) in the popular MS Windows Notepad++ programming editor.

Use:

ALT-(mouse cursor drag)

or

SHIFT-ALT-ARROW KEYS (no mouse)

to select a rectangular region such as a data table. Copy with CTRL-C, CUT with CTRL-X, and PASTE with CTRL-V

This is a test. DATE VALUE (random text)
1/1/2021 103
1/2/2021 100
1/3/2021 99
1/4/2021 101
all done.

See:
https://stackoverflow.com/questions/1802616/how-to-select-columns-in-editors-atom-notepad-kate-vim-sublime-textpad-et#1802634

Notepad++ Website: https://notepad-plus-plus.org/

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HOW TO SELECT, COPY, CUT, AND PASTE DATA TABLES IN EMACS

The Emacs text and code editor has a built in rectangle mode for selecting, copying, pasting, and maniuplating rectangular regions in text since Emacs 24.

https://www.gnu.org/software/emacs/manual/html_node/emacs/Rectangles.html

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###

A short video on how to defeat YouTube shadow banning using the Filter option in the upper left corner of your search results. Click "Filter," then select "Upload date" or "View Count" instead of the default "Relevance" option in the upper right corner. "Upload date" appears to display the search results ordered by upload date, from most recent to oldest. "View count" appears to display the search results ordered by number of views. This often works on June 17, 2021 (date of video). Sadly YouTube/Google will probably change this as the censorship and propaganda worsens in coming days or months. The shadow banning of videos with flu shot critic Peter Doshi, Ph.D. (Associate Professor at University of Maryland, Senior Editor of the British Medical Journal) is used as an example.

Peter Doshi on COVID Vaccine Tests at New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/22/opinion/covid-vaccine-coronavirus.html

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Archive (Video): https://archive.org/details/@mathsoft

###

Short review of the Microclimate AIR anti-COVID "Space" Helmet

We do not receive any compensation for this review or use of the product reviewed. We recommend that you talk to your doctor or other health professional regarding use of this product, especially if you have any respiratory or other health problems.

http://www.microclimate.com/

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Locals (Video): https://mathematicalsoftware.locals.com/
Archive (Video): https://archive.org/details/@mathsoft

###

Veteran science reporter Nicholas Wade has written a detailed accessible article on the origins of the COVID-19 pandemic and the evidence for and against a laboratory leak at the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), arguing that the lab leak theory is more likely based on the available evidence.

https://thebulletin.org/2021/05/the-origin-of-covid-did-people-or-nature-open-pandoras-box-at-wuhan/

https://nicholaswade.medium.com/origin-of-covid-following-the-clues-6f03564c038

Very little if any of this article is new but Wade presents the information in a clear way with a minimum of technical jargon. He properly acknowledges several prior detailed analyses and reports on the issues.

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###

It's official. I am an inventor! :-)

Short video announcing issuance of US Patent 10,983,805. I am one of the inventors on the patent.

Patent URL: http://patft1.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?patentnumber=10983805

Brief Announcement: http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/us-patent-10983805-issued/

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A detailed discussion of the high failure rate of research and development with some comments on Operation Warp Speed, the Manhattan Project, the War on Cancer, and the invention of powered flight.

Reference(s):

https://www.statista.com/statistics/184566/deaths-by-cancer-in-the-us-since-1950/

An article showing the increase in cancer death rates from 1950 to the mid 1990's, overlapping the War on Cancer, followed by more recent decline. Cancer remains a leading cause of death in the US.

The Manhattan Project Considered as a Fluke: https://mathblog.com/the-manhattan-project-considered-as-a-fluke/

The Mathematics of the Manhattan Project:
https://mathblog.com/the-mathematics-of-the-manhattan-project/

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###

The United States Centers for Disease Control (CDC) has at least three different, grossly contradictory historical pneumonia and influenza death numbers. Pneumonia and influenza are often conflated in the CDC's documentation and influenza death model. These death numbers are frequently used as the baseline for comparison of COVID-19 death numbers and assessing the severity of the pandemic relative to previous years and influenza pandemics.

Leading Causes of Death Pneumonia and Influenza (P&I) Deaths (About 55,000 per year)

FluView Pneumonia and Influenza (P&I) Deaths (About 188,000 pre-COVID, Over THREE TIMES Leading Causes of Death, About 5-15,000 Influenza Deaths Per Year)

CDC Model Influenza Only Deaths (About 55,000 per year, at least THREE TIMES FluView Influenza Deaths)

This video discusses these different contradictory numbers and their implications for the COVID-19 pandemic.

The article "Are COVID Death Numbers Comparing Apples and Oranges?"
at http://wordpress.jmcgowan.com/wp/are-covid-death-numbers-comparing-apples-and-oranges/ discusses these issues in much more detail and provides references and links.

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###

Scientists are People Too

Think of scientists as lawyers and not ministers or other trusted professions. High intelligence is not correlated with moral character.

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###

A short video that most modern science is funded by the government. A segment from the longer "Inconvenient Truths about Science" video.

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###

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Created 2 years, 8 months ago.

106 videos

Category Science & Technology

John F. McGowan, Ph.D. solves problems using mathematics and mathematical software, including developing gesture recognition for touch devices, video compression and speech recognition technologies. He has extensive experience developing software in C, C++, MATLAB, Python, Visual Basic and many other programming languages. He has been a Visiting Scholar at HP Labs developing computer vision algorithms and software for mobile devices. He has worked as a contractor at NASA Ames Research Center involved in the research and development of image and video processing algorithms and technology. He has published articles on the origin and evolution of life, the exploration of Mars (anticipating the discovery of methane on Mars), and cheap access to space. He has a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a B.S. in physics from the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).

Web Site: http://www.mathematical-software.com/