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While the frontlines in Ukraine are inflamed by positional battles, the warring sides are increasing exchanges of missile and drone strikes, in which Russia has an indisputable advantage.

The night of September 21 marked one of the most massive attacks by Russian drones and missiles across Ukraine in recent months.

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2K25 Krasnopol

This is a Russian cannon-launched, fin-stabilized, base bleed-assisted, semi-automatic laser-guided, artillery weapon system. It is designed to engage both moving and stationary ground targets by the first shot.

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Israel is once again escalating against Syria, Lebanon and the Palestinian Gaza Strip in what appears to be an attempt to maintain deterrence.

On September 11, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant accused Iran of building an airport in southern Lebanon in cooperation with Hezbollah for “terror purposes”.

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Azerbaijan launched a ”local anti-terrorist operation” in Nagorno-Karabakh the main goal of which is the destruction of the military infrastructure of the illegitimate regime in the region.

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Heavy battles continue in southern and eastern Ukraine, while the frontlines remain almost unchanged. The Ukrainian military continues attempts to break through Russian defenses, directing the main assault efforts from one area to another. In their turn, Russian forces are fiercely resisting on all fronts, launching counterattacks in order to keep Ukrainian reserves in battles.

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On August 10, the Naval Forces of Ukraine announced the launch of a temporary corridor for merchant ships going to or from the Ukrainian Black Sea ports of Chernomorsk, Odessa and Yuzhny. Russia has declared all vessels coming to Ukrainian ports as potential military targets. However, so far none of the civilian vessels has been targeted.

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The area of Artemovsk (formerly known as Bakhmut) remains one of the hottest battlefields and one of the main directions of the Ukrainian offensive. In addition to the large strategic dream to cut off the Russian grouping in the Donbass, Kiev is largely pursuing its political goals there. The loss of Artemovsk in the bloody battles against the Wagner PMC was one of the heaviest blows for the military and political leadership of Ukraine.

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Al-Qaeda-affiliated Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and its allies in the northwestern Syrian region of Greater Idlib are escalating against the Syrian Arab Army (SAA), threatening a ceasefire that was brokered by Russia and Turkey more than three years ago.

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On September 6, the terrible tragedy took place in the town of Konstantinovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic, which is under the control of the Kiev regime. A missile struck the local market. As a result, 16 civilians were killed, 33 others were wounded.

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The Ukrainian counteroffensive has drowned in its own blood. According to official data of the Russian Ministry of Defense, the Ukrainian Army lost at least 66 thousand servicemen during the summer campaign alone.

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Kiev is still assuring the Ukrainian population and Western taxpayers that its counteroffensive is going according to plan and the Ukrainian army will continue attacks despite the approaching rains. However, bad weather, which will undoubtedly complicate any military operations, is not the only problem of the Ukrainian military.

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With the arrival of US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken to Kiev, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have intensified their operations at the front in an attempt to demonstrate at least some successes from their counteroffensive.

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Arab tribes in northern and eastern Syria are now waging an armed uprising against the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), the United States main proxy in the country.

The uprising began late on August 27 after the SDF arrested Rashid Abu Khawla, the leader of its largest Arab faction, the Deir Ezzor Military Council (DMC), and launched a security operation within its areas in the governorate in cooperation with the U.S.-led coalition.

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The last few days have been rich in revelations confirming the terrorist and Nazi nature of the Kiev regime. The confessions made by high-ranking Ukrainian officials in large Western media and ‘independent’ organizations that are in fact under the control of the US are very bad signals for Zelensky.

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After three months of Kiev’s counteroffensive, Zelensky has no chance to hide the defeat. In an attempt to give some hope to upcoming changes to his population, he decided to punish the culprits.

The fall guy was the Defense Minister Reznikov, whose service was marked by numerous public scandals.

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Since the grain deal was suspended by Moscow, Zelensky tried his best to assure his partners that Ukraine secured another temporary corridor for navigation in to the Black Sea. It lays along Bulgaria’s coast line towards the Bosporus.

The first cargo ship left the port of Odessa in mid-August under the request of the Hong Kong authorities.

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The summer 2023 has ended but the Ukrainian spring counteroffensive is yet to bring any victories on the frontlines. Awaiting for the breakthrough in the Zaporozhie region, Ukrainian assault groups continue operations on the eastern bank of the Dnieper River and on the islands in the Kherson region.

They are attempting to gain a foothold on the Russian territories in order to launch offensives from the western direction and cut off the Russian grouping in the case of success on the Zaporozhie front.

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Military actions, security threats and political shifts are leading to more tensions across the Middle East and in Africa.

Syria remains the hottest spot in the Middle East. The country’s conflict with Israel is far from being over. Early on August 28, a series of Israeli airstrikes hit Aleppo International Airport in the country’s northern region.

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Last night, at least seven Russian regions reported attempted attacks by Ukrainian drones.

One of the targets was the military-civilian airfield in Pskov, which, according to various sources, was targeted by 10 to 21 drones.

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One of the main problems of the Ukrainian Army are the horrific losses on the battlefields. The meat grinder assaults during the months-long counteroffensive did not bring any significant victories, and the combat-ready units of the Armed Forces were ground down on the battlefield. In order to continue any effective military operations, Kiev needs to increase mobilization throughout the country.

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The war in Ukraine continues on unchanged front lines with losses growing at a terrifying pace, while Western money is disappearing into the Ukrainian black hole. It turned out that President Zelensky found an excellent use for another aid package in the resorts of Egypt.

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The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and the Russian military group in the country have escalated their strikes against al-Qaeda-affiliated Hay’at Tahir al-Sham (HTS) and its allies in the northwestern Syrian region of Greater Idlib in response to repeated violations of the ceasefire there.

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On August 23, a business jet belonging to the head of the Wagner Group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, crashed in the Russian Tver region. Two aircraft linked to the company flew from Moscow to St. Petersburg.

One of them crashed from a height of 9 kilometers. Its wreckage and 10 bodies were found at the crash site.

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Kiev is trying to flex its diplomatic muscles, while the Ukrainian Army is no longer able to achieve the goals of the counteroffensive.

Recently, the village of Rabotino has become the main battlefield for Ukrainian attacks on the southern frontlines.

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While Ukrainian forces continue to march in place on the frontlines, in an attempt to justify Kiev’s large PR campaign called the ‘counteroffensive’, attempts to hit at least some targets in the Russian rear, whether military or civilian, continue with increased zeal. Retaliatory precise strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure do not stop as well.

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Created 4 years, 3 months ago.

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Category News & Politics

SouthFront: Analysis & Intelligence is a public analytical project maintained by an independent team of experts from the four corners of the Earth focusing on international relations issues and crises and working through a number of media platforms with a special emphasis on social networks. We focus on analysis and intelligence of the ongoing crises and the biggest stories from around the world: conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine, Central Asia issues, protest movements in the Balkans, migration crises, and others. In addition, we provide military operations analysis, the military posture of major world powers, and other important data influencing the growth of tensions between countries and nations. We try to dig out the truth on issues which are barely covered by governments and mainstream media.

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