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In this video, I discuss how the Fed's more hawkish rhetoric is causing a sell-off in stocks, Bitcoin, and other "risk assets."

Jerome Powell has been given a free pass, through his renomination to the Fed, to pursue a more hawkish policy, in an effort to keep gas prices and rents from exploding further, causing political fall-out.

It's unlikely that this hawkish policy will be able to continue for very long before something in the system blows up. Perhaps it's a stock market crash (that hurts tax receipts and consumer spending), or perhaps it's a back-up in Treasury yields while stocks are still selling off.

Either way, the Fed will be forced to reverse course and start up the money printers again on full throttle in order to clean up the mess. The financial system is too levered to be able to handle tighter monetary policy, as it still could in 1980 under Paul Volcker, when debt/GDP levels were only 30%.

Bitcoin will continue to grow and take market share, regardless of Fed policy.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

US debt clock:
https://www.usdebtclock.org/

Chart of debt/GDP:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S

Higher rents and gas prices hurting Biden's poll numbers:
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/10/rent-inflation-biden-520642
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/17/gas-prices-biden-inflation-522777

Powell gets another term:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/11/22/president-biden-nominates-jerome-powell-to-serve-as-chair-of-the-federal-reserve-dr-lael-brainard-to-serve-as-vice-chair/

Then Powell gets hawkish:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-30/powell-says-appopriate-to-weigh-earlier-end-to-bond-buy-tapering
https://www.wsj.com/articles/powell-warns-omicron-variant-could-worsen-inflation-boosting-bottlenecks-11638280800

Probabilities of Fed hikes:
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/intere..

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss Charlie Munger's recent comments on Bitcoin, as well as Buffett and Munger's history of profiting from fiat food and the fiat financial system.

Munger criticizes Bitcoin as being bad for consumers, while at the same time having profited from selling junk food and investing in the captured US banking system.

You can tell a lot about a person from their reaction to Bitcoin. Cantillionaires like Munger and Buffett hate it for a very good reason: Bitcoin is in the process of destroying fiat money and fiat culture for good.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Munger sides with China over Bitcoin:
https://decrypt.co/87492/china-made-correct-decision-ban-cryptocurrencies-charlie-munger

Munger on how to create global, addictive products:
https://fs.blog/turning-2-million-into-2-trillion/

Coke and diabetes in India:
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/26/health/india-diabetes-junk-food.html

Coke and diabetes in Mexico:
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/14/world/americas/mexico-coca-cola-diabetes.html

Buffett pushing junk food:
https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/surveying-warren-buffetts-junk-food-empire-17-delicious-brands-we-eat-all-the-time-13090989
https://www.thestreet.com/video/warren-buffett-says-eating-like-a-six-year-old-keeps-him-young-13078536

School meals have too much sugar:
https://thelunchtray.substack.com/p/sugar-school-meals

Munger designs windowless dorm for UCSB:
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/30/us/charlie-munger-ucsb-dorms.html

Buffett and Munger benefited from bailouts:
https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/nation-world/national/economy/article24532354.html

Buffett gets special privileges from the SEC:
https://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/11/14/one-secret-buffett-gets-to-keep/

Munger thinks that Bitcoin's success is disgusting:
https://decrypt.co/69684/warren-buffetts-right-hand-man-bitcoins-success-is-disgusting

Satoshi and th..

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In this video, I discuss how China has moved from recycling trade surplus US dollars into Treasuries to using them to acquire hard assets and infrastructure all around the world.

After China entered the WTO in 2001 until about 2013, China was the main marginal buyer of US Treasuries, helping to keep interest rates low in the US and enabling US consumers to finance the consumption of even more Chinese goods.

That all changed around 2013, when China began to acquire overseas natural resources and commodity firms like Smithfield Foods (US pork producer). This has continued worldwide since then, with a special emphasis on acquiring key assets in Latin America and Africa.

China will often issue a USD-denominated loan against local assets (often excluding any international immunity clauses) and use it as a method of acquiring those assets once the lender defaults.

It might just be time to brush up on your Mandarin.

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has replaced China as the buyer of last resort of US Treasuries. The money printing will go on. . .

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

China's holdings of US Treasuries:
https://www.ceicdata.com/en/china/holdings-of-us-treasury-securities/holdings-of-us-treasury-securities
https://ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/mfh.txt

China buys pork producer Smithfield:
https://revealnews.org/article/how-china-purchased-a-prime-cut-of-americas-pork-industry/

China buying up Latin American resources:
https://www.mining.com/web/china-locking-critical-resources-uss-backyard/

China to take over Uganda's Entebbe International Airport:
https://twitter.com/TanzaniaUpdates/status/1464152041757069321/photo/1
https://eurasiantimes.com/china-gobbling-entebbe-airport-israel-orlds-most-daring-military-ops/

China, Africa, and human rights violations:
https://qz.com/africa/2049284/do-chinas-operations-in-africa-have-a-human-rights-problem/

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In this video, I discuss Powell's recent hawkish comments, and its effects on the stock market.

Powell will continue tapering and using hawkish rhetoric until something breaks-- at which point, he will need to revert to massive money printing and being the buyer of last resort for US Treasuries.

The Fed is like the Soviet Politburo, but worse. Rather than deciding the price and supply of bread, it gets to decide the price and supply of money. This will end badly, as central planning always does.

Bitcoin fixes this.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Powell scares the stock market:
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/29/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

Inflation is "transitory":
https://bankingjournal.aba.com/2021/06/powell-recent-rise-in-inflation-is-transitory/

Inflation is "frustrating":
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/29/fed-chair-powell-calls-inflation-frustrating-and-sees-it-running-into-next-year.html

Inflation is no longer "transitory":
https://twitter.com/FinancialJuice/status/1465706245378088971

OECD recognizes that higher inflation is here to stay:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-inflation-set-to-be-higher-for-longer-says-oecd-11638356853

Powell considers ending stimulus more quickly:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/powell-warns-omicron-variant-could-worsen-inflation-boosting-bottlenecks-11638280800

Fed may complete taper sooner than previously indicated:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-30/powell-says-appopriate-to-weigh-earlier-end-to-bond-buy-tapering

Watch the Fed's balance sheet grow:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL

Powell used to be more hawkish:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-30/hawkish-powell-is-a-force-markets-haven-t-faced-in-three-years

Then Powell turned dovish:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-31/fed-s-dovish-pivot-flattens-remaining-rate-hike-expectations

US debt clock:
h..

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In this video, I discuss ECB President Christine Lagarde's comments on Bitcoin, stablecoins, and CBDCs (central bank digital currencies).

Lagarde believes that she has the right as a central banker to tell everyone what is and what is not a currency.

She doesn't like Bitcoin because it supposedly wastes energy and is used by criminals, whereas Lagarde herself is a convicted criminal.

Bitcoin is our one and only hope to get rid of central banking. It had an immaculate conception, and is not controlled by an oligarchy like Ethereum is.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Is Bitcoin Bad For The Environment?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fVT2CSMOVaE&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Bitcoin and the Electricity Police
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ6FLh7z40U&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Jeff Booth on fiat currency and the environment:
https://twitter.com/JeffBooth/status/1349414031048601601

Christine Lagarde:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christine_Lagarde

Video of Lagarde talking about crypto:
https://twitter.com/Xentagz/status/1464673411179986948

Christine Lagarde convicted:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/christine-lagarde-convicted-imf-head-found-guilty-of-negligence-in-fraud-trial-a7484586.html

European banks laundered $2 trillion:
https://www.barrons.com/articles/more-bad-news-for-european-banks-as-leaked-documents-show-alleged-movement-of-illicit-funds-51600704744

BOE governor worried about El Salvador adopting Bitcoin:
https://news.bitcoin.com/bank-of-england-governor-worried-bitcoin-legal-tender-el-salvador/

Opération Harmattan:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Op%C3%A9ration_Harmattan

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https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market..

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss the short-term correlation between stocks and Bitcoin, and the differences between a safe haven, stock market hedge, and store of value.

Bitcoin is an emerging store of value that is slowly stealing market share from other stores of value like gold. Over the short-term, Bitcoin may crash with stocks, but only because its ultimate value is not yet understood widely by market participants.

If you wait until something is fully priced in by the market, you will always miss out on the most price appreciation (e.g. Amazon).

Even historical stores of value like gold have a history of selling off during market crashes like 2008 and March 2020.

"Store of value" status needs to be measured over decades, not days. Over the long-term, Bitcoin has proven itself to be NGU ("number go up") technology, due to its scarcity and utility.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

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Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Bitcoin
#StockMarketCrash
#Stocks

Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or independent contractors (collectively, the “Operator Parties”) are licensed financial advisors, registered investment advisors, or registered broker-dealers. None of the Operator Parties are providing investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing in this video or at www.Trader.University (henceforth, “the Site”) should be construed as such by you. This video and the Site should be used as educational tools only and are not replacements for professio..

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In this video, I discuss the impact of the fiat financial system on our food, our farming, and our bodies.

One way that the government keeps headline inflation lower is by adjusting the CPI index for substitutions, while encouraging the populace to downgrade their lifestyle through things like substituting soy for turkey.

The fiat system encourages high time preference behavior, like consuming fast food, subsidized grains, and destroying the soil in the pursuit of short-term profits.

By contrast, a hard money Bitcoin standard encourages low time preference behavior, like eating healthy food and being a good steward of the land through regenerative ranching and agriculture.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Federal Reserve suggests downgrading your Thanksgiving:
https://twitter.com/stlouisfed/status/1462176434420690946

"Consider not buying a turkey":
https://twitter.com/WaltLightShed/status/1462050274646925313/photo/1

US agriculture subsidies:
https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/primer-agriculture-subsidies-and-their-influence-on-the-composition-of-u-s-food-supply-and-consumption/

Regenerative Ranching & Bitcoin Citadels:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H9xFpe2fuvA&ab_channel=JohnVallis-BitcoinRapid-Fire

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I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Bitcoin
#Fed
#Agriculture

Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or ind..

Get my Bitcoin book for just 100 sats:
https://checkout.link/d77b9

In this video, I discuss how the Bitcoin Lightning Network can be used to run paywalls and monetize content for content creators.

The Muun wallet makes the Lightning Network very cheap and easy to use, and it makes micropayments quite convenient. It also has the additional quality of being a very private way to view content without giving up your personal information.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Muun wallet:
https://muun.com/

My Bitcoin book on Amazon:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

My favorite Bitcoin dashboard:
https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/

LNPay:
https://lnpay.co/

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https://www.trader.university/join
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Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Bitcoin
#ContentCreator
#LightningNetwork

Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or independent contractors (collectively, the “Operator Parties”) are licensed financial advisors, registered investment advisors, or registered broker-dealers. None of the Operator Parties are providing investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing in this video or at www.Trader.University (henceforth, “the Site”) should be construed as such by you. This video and the Site should be used as educational tools only and are not replacements for professional investment advice. There is a high risk in trading.

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss El Salvador's plans for the first Bitcoin city, including how it will be financed using Bitcoin bonds issued on the Liquid Network.

This will be a low-tax, eco-friendly new city, if everything goes according to plan.

This is yet another sign that countries and jurisdictions will compete to attract Bitcoiners and accumulate Bitcoin on their balance sheets.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

El Salvador plans first Bitcoin city:
https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/el-salvador-plans-first-bitcoin-city-backed-by-bitcoin-bonds-2021-11-21/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-21/el-salvador-plans-1b-in-tokenized-bitcoin-bonds-bukele-says

Artistic representation of new Bitcoin city:
https://twitter.com/PresidenciaSV/status/1462261441956884487/photo/3
https://twitter.com/PresidenciaSV/status/1462263234833092610/photo/2

Conchagua volcano:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conchagua_(volcano)

Very low taxes promised:
https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1462294688266956808/photo/1

Meanwhile, the US is trying to milk its citizens for even more:
https://news.bitcoin.com/an-act-of-war-against-the-middle-class-americans-criticize-janet-yellens-idea-to-tax-unrealized-capital-gains/

El Salvador to issue Bitcoin bonds on the Liquid Network:
https://blog.blockstream.com/el-salvador-to-issue-1b-in-tokenized-bonds-on-the-liquid-network/

Liquid Network:
https://blockstream.com/liquid/

The miracle of Singapore:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/travel/travel_news/article-3181291/Swampland-skyscrapers-amazing-images-Singapore-s-transformation-high-rise-metropolis.html

Things that are illegal in Singapore:
https://www.businessinsider.com/things-that-are-illegal-in-singapore-2015-7

El Salvador Makes Bitcoin Legal Tender:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8Gsul2jE&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

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https://www..

How to buy Bitcoin anonymously:
https://www.trader.university/courses/38824-the-ultimate-guide-to-bitcoin
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In this video, I discuss how to use free Bitcoin blockchain explorers to spy on other people's Bitcoin holdings and spending patterns.

The Bitcoin blockchain is completely open and transparent, so this can be quite easy to do. There is nothing shady or illegal about viewing publicly available information like this.

The Bitcoin blockchain is open, distributed globally, and will probably be around forever. This is why it's so important to protect your on-chain privacy by never reusing a Bitcoin address, and also perhaps by buying some Bitcoin anonymously (check your own jurisdiction to make sure that it is legal where you live).

If you reuse a Bitcoin address, the payer may be able to see your Bitcoin holdings and spending patterns. If you add KYC to the equation, we end up with a complete privacy nightmare for Bitcoin holders.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Free blockchain explorers:
https://oxt.me/
https://mempool.space/

Always use a fresh address:
https://wiki.trezor.io/Fresh_address

Coinbase gets hacked:
https://www.pcmag.com/news/coinbase-discloses-that-6000-customers-got-hacked-this-spring

Coinbase helps with government surveillance:
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2020/06/05/coinbase-offers-us-feds-new-crypto-surveillance-tools/

Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Bitcoin
#Privacy
#Surveillance

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Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareh..

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In this video, I discuss Bitcoin's recent sell-off, hodling strategies, as well as Bitcoin price targets over the current cycle.

Bitcoin is what a free market looks like, with no trading halts, circuit breakers, or emergency Fed meetings.

Hodling Bitcoin is simple, but not easy. Stop checking the price multiple times a day, don't use leverage, don't trade alts, just dollar cost average into Bitcoin and never sell.

Bitcoin is rat poison the the US banks and traditional fiat financial system, which is why fiat billionaires and politicians on both sides of the aisle hate it so much.

Bitcoin is a diamond, while fiat is a melting ice cube.

It remains to be seen whether Plan B's stock to flow price models hold across the current cycle. According to his first model, we need to trade at an average price of 100k over the current cycle, or the model is considered broken. If the model is not to break, we need to spend a lot of time trading closer to 200k than to where we are trading today.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

My favorite Bitcoin dashboard:
https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/

Stock market circuit breakers:
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/15/the-sp-500-futures-hit-limit-down-at-5-percent.html

Raoul Pal says never own Bitcoin:
https://twitter.com/ShireHODL/status/1459727222768603141

Solana Billionaire VC's Are Laughing At You:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nBHH0k8EOHE&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

List of Defi exploits and hacks:
https://rekt.news/

Trump says Bitcoin is a threat to the US dollar:
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57392734

Clinton says that Bitcoin is a threat to the US dollar:
https://decrypt.co/86461/crypto-could-undermine-dollar-destabilize-nations-hillary-clinton

Bitcoin halving cycles compared:
https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1456741682272260098/photo/1

Plan B S2F 100k average:
https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/st..

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In this video, I discuss Jon Schwarz's article about how inflation is supposedly good for the 99% and bad for the 1%.

While it is true that inflation erodes the burden of debt, the majority of household debt is mortgage debt, that is held by homeowners who benefit from asset price inflation.

The middle and working classes are disproportionately hurt by CPI inflation, while the wealthier classes benefit from asset price inflation.

Federal Reserve monetary policy is an all-out assault on the poor.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Inflation is good for you:
https://theintercept.com/2021/11/10/inflation-economy-debt-milk-prices/

Why Inflation Is Much Worse Than You Think:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ky4y5zcT4H0&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Homeowner statistics:
https://www.policygenius.com/homeowners-insurance/homeowners-vs-renters-statistics/

US household debt:
https://www.statista.com/chart/19955/household-debt-balance-in-the-united-states/

US housing prices jump the most in 3 decades:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-29/u-s-housing-prices-surge-the-most-in-more-than-three-decades

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I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Inflation
#CPI
#Fed

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In this video, I discuss cryptocurrency stablecoins in the context of traditional pegged fiat currencies, like the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD).

When another currency (whether crypto stablecoin or traditional fiat currency) pegs to the US dollar, it is actually pegging itself to a melting ice cube.

Monetary pegs are inherently unstable. As soon as you intervene to "stabilize" your currency, your currency is no longer a form of neutral money. It loses its "moneyness" and becomes a politicized asset.

Only Bitcoin possesses a truly stable monetary policy and issuance/inflation rate. It is neutral, decentralized money that is beyond the reach of politics and central bankers.

This stability is made possible by the enforcement of a fixed maximum supply (21 million coins), as well as by the difficulty adjustment, which ensures that new coins are issued every roughly 10 minutes.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Crypto stablecoins:
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/tether/
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/usd-coin/
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/multi-collateral-dai/

The Fed supposedly seeks monetary "stability":
https://www.federalreserve.gov/default.htm

Currencies pegged to the US dollar:
https://www.sapling.com/4675892/what-currencies-pegged-dollar

Hong Kong Dollar peg:
https://www.scmp.com/economy/article/3093078/hong-kong-dollar-peg-what-it-and-why-it-important

How Soros broke the pound:
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/08/george-soros-bank-of-england.asp

The Fed wades into politics:
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/19/business/economy/federal-reserve-politics.html

My favorite Bitcoin dashboard:
https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/

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https://w..

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss two different strategies that the US government could use to try to capture Bitcoin.

The first strategy would involve the US government encouraging billionaires, CEOs, and influencers to rally everyone around buying Bitcoin. The second step would be to get these same influencers to tell the sheeple that now everyone needs to let the US government be their Bitcoin custodian. In the third step, the US gov then burns all of the private keys, rendering that Bitcoin unusable.

The second strategy is more simple: stop allowing withdrawals from crypto exchanges, and force Bitcoin to be used only within an ecosystem of regulated companies and banks.

The way to fight against both of these capture strategies is simply to withdraw your Bitcoin from exchanges now, and hold your own private keys. Never allow anyone to custody your own Bitcoin, even if powerful Bitcoin influencers tell you that you should.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

When the US gov seized the gold:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Order_6102

Crypto exchanges hold a lot of Bitcoin:
https://bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html

Crypto exchanges can halt withdrawals:
https://cryptobriefing.com/binance-halts-crypto-withdrawals-citing-large-backlog/

How to Buy and Store Bitcoin (The Right Way):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpWH0d06YJM&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Trezor hardware wallet:
https://trezor.io/

Blockstream Jade hardware wallet:
https://blockstream.com/jade/

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Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in m..

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss whether Bitcoin is controlled by the rich and powerful.

Contrary to popular opinion, holdings of Bitcoin are not as concentrated as widely believed: the addresses that hold hundreds of thousands of Bitcoin are mostly just the cold wallets of large crypto exchanges like Binance and Bitfinex.

The collapse of the New York Agreement (where a bunch of Bitcoin miners and influential Bitcoin companies tried to push through a protocol change but failed) demonstrates that Bitcoin is controlled by the full nodes, rather than the rich and powerful.

Finally, Bitcoin whales may be able to manipulate the short-term price of Bitcoin, but they are unable to affect its long-term value. Any crashes caused by Bitcoin whale manipulation are opportunities for hodlers to buy the dip.

Bitcoin is the first instance in history of the retail investor entering an asset first, and getting in ahead of Wall Street.

No matter how rich and powerful you are, you cannot change Bitcoin or make it bend to your will.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Top 100 richest Bitcoin addresses:
https://bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html

Top 10 owners of MSFT:
https://money.cnn.com/quote/shareholders/shareholders.html?symb=MSFT&subView=institutional

HODL waves:
https://unchained.com/hodlwaves/

Number of addresses holding at least X BTC:
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd84842-698e-45eb-8fc9-e3ba71a5f16f_1200x775.png

List of backers of SegWit2x:
https://dcgco.medium.com/bitcoin-scaling-agreement-at-consensus-2017-133521fe9a77

SegWit2x backers cancel plans:
https://techcrunch.com/2017/11/08/segwit2x-backers-cancel-plans-for-bitcoin-hard-fork

Map of full nodes:
https://bitnodes.io/

Solana Billionaire VC's Are Laughi..

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss whether Ethereum will ever flip Bitcoin. A "flipping" or "flippening" would happen if Ethereum's market cap ever exceeded Bitcoin's market cap.

Market cap in itself is a very misleading metric, if you don't take trading volume into account as well. Anyone could print up 2 trillion new crypto tokens, sell one of them for $1, and announce that their new cryptocurrency has just flipped both Bitcoin and Ethereum.

It is highly unlikely that ETH ever flips Bitcoin. It is more likely that ETH itself gets flipped by another utility token such as BNB or SOL.

But even if ETH ever flips BTC, ETH will still be just another bad form of money, with a huge pre-mine and an uncertain future monetary policy controlled by insiders. ETH will still be vulnerable to a shut down of Infura or AWS, and will suffer from all of the problems caused by a move to proof of stake.

"Store of value" is theoretically a much larger category than "utility token." Much of the world's future value will be stored in the former, while the latter is only useful for paying gas fees on a particular network.

This suggests that a utility token like ETH will theoretically never be able to flip a store of value like BTC.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Cryptocurrency market caps and max supply:
https://coinmarketcap.com/

Did Satoshi pre-mine Bitcoin?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwkWSUE1Ipc&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Proof of work vs. proof of stake:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wc-X3XHtmhE&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Solana billionaire VC's ready to dump on you:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nBHH0k8EOHE&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

The pie fallacy and infinite wealth:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDT1Jghwyj4&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Check out my online trading courses:
https://www.trader.university/join
Use this secret coupon code to get a discount..

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss the Bitcoin Taproot upgrade, and what it means for Bitcoin's future development.

I also discuss the philosophy of hard forks vs. soft forks, and why Bitcoin's development pace is glacial.

The process of approving and rolling out BIPs (Bitcoin Improvement Protocols) is messy and chaotic, because Bitcoin has no leader in charge. It is neutral, decentralized money.

A big advantage of Schnorr signatures, which come with the Taproot upgrade, is the ability to make simple spend, multi-sig, and complex smart contract transactions all look the same on the base layer.

The result will not only be more privacy, but also lower transaction costs, as well as a less bulky future blockchain size.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Watch Taproot get activated:
https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/
https://mempool.space/

Check out my online trading courses:
https://www.trader.university/join
Use this secret coupon code to get a discount: YT99

Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Bitcoin
#BitcoinNews
#Taproot

Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or independent contractors (collectively, the “Operator Parties”) are licensed financial advisors, registered investment advisors, or registered broker-dealers. None of the Operator Parties are providing investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing in this video or at www.Trader.University (henceforth, “the Site”) should be construed as such by you. This video and the Site should be use..

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss the early days of Bitcoin, and whether Satoshi Nakamoto pre-mined Bitcoin.

The Bitcoin Genesis block was pre-mined, but its 50 BTC reward can never be spent.

Satoshi mined early Bitcoin blocks to provide security for the network, since he was the only Bitcoin miner in the world for a while.

But Satoshi has never moved or sold his coins, unlike people like Vitalik Buterin at Ethereum.

Bitcoin was not issued by a centralized foundation or corporation, and was not used to fund a huge marketing department. Bitcoin is neutral, decentralized money, that had the most fair distribution of any currency in history.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Bitcoin white paper:
https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf

Satoshi time-line:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satoshi_Nakamoto

Bitcoin Genesis block:
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Genesis_block

Bitcoin Block 1:
https://www.blockchain.com/btc/block/1

Bitcoin Block 2:
https://www.blockchain.com/btc/block/000000006a625f06636b8bb6ac7b960a8d03705d1ace08b1a19da3fdcc99ddbd

OXT tool:
https://oxt.me/

Pomp's pre-mine tweet thread:
https://twitter.com/APompliano/status/1458946708054892545

Altcoins with large pre-mines:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FDTHFpTWQAUcoLx?format=jpg&name=large

Solana Billionaire VC's Are Laughing At You:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nBHH0k8EOHE&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Ripple runs ads paid for by its marketing budget:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bSO7BdElRpk&ab_channel=OfficialRippleChannel

Ethereum's Dirty History:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GuvPcUkea58&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Vitalik dumps 25% of his ETH:
https://www.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/4g7l7m/ethereum_developer_vitalik_buterin_sold_25_of_his/

Check out my online trading courses:
https://www.trader.university/join
Use this secret coupon code to get a discount: YT99

Check out my Amazon best-selle..

Join the Trader University email list:
https://www.trader.university/email-list

In this video, I discuss the latest CPI inflation numbers, as well as alternate methods of calculating the actual rate of inflation.

If we use the government's own previous method of calculating inflation, the actual inflation rate is closer to 15%, which we would expect when the money supply is being grown so rapidly.

Technology is deflationary. This means that the actual rate of inflation is actually higher than the official numbers, since tech productivity boosts help to keep prices down.

The Fed will continue to let inflation run out (and pretend to be surprised), since this is the only way out of our current leveraged mess. Inflation will stay high until debt/GDP normalizes.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Powell promised us that inflation was "transitory":
https://bankingjournal.aba.com/2021/06/powell-recent-rise-in-inflation-is-transitory/

Then Powell got "frustrated":
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/29/fed-chair-powell-calls-inflation-frustrating-and-sees-it-running-into-next-year.html

Now Powell sees inflation sticking around:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/powell-says-supply-chain-bottlenecks-could-lead-to-somewhat-longer-interval-of-high-inflation-11632934764

Strangely, Powell forgot to mention his own money printer:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O1hCLBTD5RM&ab_channel=TimvanHelsdingen

CPI inflation hits 6.2%
https://twitter.com/markets/status/1458428058424299527/photo/1

Jack points out that the current CPI methodology understates inflation:
https://twitter.com/jack/status/1458433240570609664

ShadowStats actual inflation:
http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts

Jeff Booth, The Price of Tomorrow:
https://books.google.com/books/about/The_Price_of_Tomorrow.html?id=_qNPzQEACAAJ&source=kp_book_description

US Federal debt to GDP at historical levels:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S

Watch the M2 money supply ..

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My favorite momentum stocks:
https://www.trader.university/courses/22011-my-favorite-momentum-stocks
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In this video, I discuss the warning signs that usually come before a stock crashes. By being aware of these warning signs, you can usually exit a stock before the worst happens.

It is very important to understand that most stocks stumble before they fall.

I use Zillow (Z) and Peloton (PTON) as recent examples of stocks that displayed multiple warning signs before they crashed.

The one major exception is biotech stocks, where a single trial or FDA decision can make or break the company.

Sarepta is a good example of this:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-08/sarepta-shares-plunge-halving-its-market-value-on-therapy-miss

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Stocks
#StockCrash
#Peloton

Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or independent contractors (collectively, the “Operator Parties”) are licensed financial advisors, registered investment advisors, or registered broker-dealers. None of the Operator Parties are providing investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing in this video or at www.Trader.University (henceforth, “the Site”) should be construed as such by you. This video and the Site should be used as educational tools only and are not replacements for professional investment advice. There is a high risk in trading.

Learn how to buy Bitcoin anonymously:
https://www.trader.university/courses/38824-the-ultimate-guide-to-bitcoin
Get access to all of my trading courses:
https://www.trader.university/join
Be sure to use the secret discount code YT99

In this video, I discuss Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs above $68,000, and what this means for the current halving cycle.

For Bitcoin to hit Plan B's model average price, Bitcoin will need to spend significant time well above either $100,000 or $288,000 over the next 6-12 months.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

My favorite Bitcoin dashboard:
https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/

Graveyard of Bitcoin bears:
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/13/black-swan-author-nassim-taleb-says-bitcoin-is-worth-zero.html
https://mobile.twitter.com/steve_hanke/status/1130100039668379656
https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1406614384714125315/photo/1
https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff/status/1407325611165618184

S&P 500 massively underperforming Bitcoin:
https://twitter.com/PrestonPysh/status/1458083844989636608/photo/1

Bitcoin's market cap vs fiat currencies:
https://www.fiatmarketcap.com/

Top assets by market cap:
https://companiesmarketcap.com/assets-by-market-cap/

Santander to issue BTC products:
https://okdiario.com/economia/santander-unico-banco-espanol-que-plantea-lanzar-productos-inversion-criptomonedas-8072909

Plan B's price targets:
https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1457725830805827593

Plan B's Bitcoin price models:
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD

Bitcoin 2021 Price Target ($200,000):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8EZJNaBzFoc&ab_channel=TraderUniversity

Daily charts of Plan B's S2F model:
https://s2f.hamal.nl/s2fcharts.html

Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin":
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please do n..

A Beginner's Guide To Bitcoin:
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B08RX8Q4ZQ

In this video, I discuss what to do if your hardware wallet is lost, stolen, damaged, or otherwise compromised.

The first step is to restore the wallet to another hardware or software wallet using your 12 or 24 word recovery seed backup.

Once you have done this, immediately move the Bitcoin to a different wallet that has a different recovery seed.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Trezor hardware wallets:
https://trezor.io/

Trezor recovery seed:
https://blog.trezor.io/learn-about-trezor-recovery-seed-offline-backup-fe235873c69f

Blockstream Green wallet:
https://blockstream.com/green/

Blockstream Jade hardware wallet:
https://blockstream.com/jade/

Muun wallet:
https://muun.com/

Wallet of Satoshi:
https://www.walletofsatoshi.com/

Blue Wallet:
https://bluewallet.io/

Strike app:
https://strike.me/en/

Check out my online trading courses:
https://www.trader.university/join
Use this secret coupon code to get a discount: YT99

Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Bitcoin
#Trezor
#HardwareWallets

Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or independent contractors (collectively, the “Operator Parties”) are licensed financial advisors, registered investment advisors, or registered broker-dealers. None of the Operator Parties are providing investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing in this video or at www.Trader.University (henceforth, “the Site”) should be construed as such by you. This video and the Site should be used as educational tools only..

How to buy Bitcoin anonymously:
https://www.trader.university/courses/38824-the-ultimate-guide-to-bitcoin
Get access to all of my trading courses:
https://www.trader.university/join
Be sure to use the secret discount code YT99

In this video, I discuss Bitcoin UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs), and their implications for the privacy of those who use Bitcoin.

Unlike traditional bank accounts, there are no accounts or balances with Bitcoin. There are simply UTXOs that are moved/spent using your private keys. When your hardware wallet shows you a "balance," it is simply summing up all of the UTXOs that you have moved to that wallet.

A UTXO is simply a chunk of Bitcoin. It can be for any amount less than 21 million. When you spend a UTXO, the original UTXO is destroyed and your recipient is given a fresh new UTXO, while the "change" is sent back to you as a new UTXO as well.

If you are unaware of how UTXOs work, you may be leaking personal information whenever you transact in Bitcoin.

The solutions to this privacy problem include non-KYC Bitcoin, always using a fresh address to receive Bitcoin, CoinJoins, and post-mix privacy tools.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Banks confiscate money in Cyprus:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-21814325

Check out my online trading courses:
https://www.trader.university/join
Use this secret coupon code to get a discount: YT99

Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Bitcoin
#UTXO
#Privacy

Disclaimer
Neither Trader University, nor any of its directors, officers, shareholders, personnel, representatives, agents, or independent contractors (collectively, the “Operator Parties”..

Join the Trader University email list:
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In this video, I discuss the most recent FOMC statement, and its implication for the Fed's taper.

It appears that the Fed is determined to reduce purchases of long-term government debt by $10 billion every month, and the US Treasury is secretly cooperating by issuing less debt at the far end of the yield curve

The US government still needs to borrow massive amounts of money, which we would expect it to do at the front end of the curve (T-Bills). The Fed can then use its Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility (MMLF) to prop up the front end of the curve.

In this way, the Fed can have its cake and eat it too. Expect stocks, housing prices, and Bitcoin to continue to appreciate sharply, since it is likely that the Fed will need to keep the money printers going for the rest of this decade.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Fed begins taper:
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/03/fed-decision-taper-timetable-as-it-starts-pulling-back-on-pandemic-era-economic-aid-.html

Latest FOMC statement:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20211103a.htm

Daily Treasury yield curve rates:
https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield

The Fed is the elephant in the room:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-02/stock-market-jerome-powell-federal-reserve-dominate-treasury-bond-trades

Money printer go brrr:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O1hCLBTD5RM&ab_channel=TimvanHelsdingen

US debt clock:
https://www.usdebtclock.org/

Watch the Fed's balance sheet grow:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL

US Treasury reduces long-term bond sales:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-03/treasury-unveils-first-cut-in-long-term-debt-sales-since-2016

Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility (MMLF):
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/mmlf.htm

What is a money market fun..

Join the Trader University email list:
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In this video, I discuss a clip of Chamath and David Sacks joking about their Solana positions, and how they plan to dump it on retail investors.

The world of cryptocurrency VC's (venture capitalists) is a dirty place, and stands in stark contrast to the nobility of Satoshi Nakamoto.

Satoshi never dumped his bags on anyone, and even purposefully throttled back his early Bitcoin mining in order to give other miners a chance.

Warren Buffett's advice is still the best:

“If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.”

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Chamath dumps SPCE:
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/05/chamath-palihapitiya-sells-virgin-galactic-spce-stake.html

Solana:
https://solana.com/

Solana fund-raising:
https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/solana-io/investor_financials

Solana tokens had a huge allocation to VC's and insiders:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FDTHFpTWQAUcoLx?format=jpg&name=large

Solana billionaires laughing at you:
https://twitter.com/GooseOfCrypto/status/1456002541808807938

Vitalik sold 25% of his coins:
https://www.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/4g7l7m/ethereum_developer_vitalik_buterin_sold_25_of_his/

Satoshi's holdings:
https://decrypt.co/34810/how-many-bitcoin-does-its-inventor-satoshi-nakamoto-still-own

Satoshi may have mined fewer coins that he could have:
https://decrypt.co/33763/satoshi-purposely-mined-less-bitcoin-than-possible-research

Check out my online trading courses:
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Use this secret coupon code to get a discount: YT99

Check out my Amazon best-seller, "A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market":
https://www.amazon.com/Beginners-Guide-Stock-Market-Everything-ebook/dp/B07S31TBF5

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.

My opinion is not for sale. Please ..

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Created 2 months ago.

55 videos

Category Business & Finance