(Published 8/24/16) More: http://WikiWorldOrder.org/2016/08/24/please-compartmentalize-the-viability-of-conspiratorial-beliefs/
https://youtu.be/QSua9jLkqSg
^ Watch full reaction to: "On the Viability of Conspiratorial Beliefs", by David Robert Grimes in PLOS, January 26, 2016
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147905
-------
For the sake of argument, let’s say that five people can effectively keep a secret (and a cover story). This is perhaps especially true if their life depended on keeping those secrets (or perhaps their whole family’s lives), by implicit or direct risk and/or threat.
Let’s say these five core conspirators (with full knowledge of a given plan) each directly control — or strongly influence — five unwitting accomplices. The next compartments below those five, contain 25 unwitting accomplices who might think they are only working with the one participant on one project or task. And now we already have 150 people working unwittingly towards a plan of which only 5 people really understand, by definition of the strategy of compartmentalization.
So this study requires some significant translation. In this hypothetical, three tiers of compartmentalization scale the number of knowing participants from 150 to just 5. Perhaps there is some decent behavioral science on our ability to keep secrets. An established metric (instead of just 5) could use the number of all involved participants to estimate how many tiers of compartmentalization would be required to accomplish a given alternative theory.
In such a compartmentalized hierarchy, adding a fourth tier could then accomplish five separate tasks requiring more than 100 people, for a total of 775 partially unwitting participants. A fifth tier could accomplish 25 tasks requiring more than 100 people. It takes only eight tiers to involve over 400,000 people, the order of magnitude estimated for the moon landing project. Higher-level omissions and/or deceptions regarding the larger goals of a conspiracy, likely result in vast majority of participants believing their work is for the cover stories.
In this hypothetical, with compartmentalization factored in, one would need the first four tiers (and elements of the fifth) to all be “in the know” in order to meet the study’s definition of a ‘large conspiracy’ as having greater than 1,000 knowing agents. Again, having more than a couple tiers really “in the know” defies the definition of compartmentalization, which is a strategy of effective conspiracies like the Manhattan Project.
Indeed, most conspiracies which remain ‘theories’ do seem to have whistleblowers, leaks, or significant narrative holes within certain compartments, but not enough to blow the whole story wide open.
Please help encourage a world more dominated by open source information and operations.
