The Maths Behind the Current Surge in Cases - Correction to previous video about West Lancashire

Much of this is applicable to everywhere in the UK and I guess the West as a whole.
One further correction to my correction at the end of the description.

This video seeks to correct an under estimation of how crowded our shops were in the run up to Christmas and New Year's Eve.
It also criticises our side for not grasping at opportunities.
I also reiterate my prediction for January in slightly more detail than in the previous video.
I narrow my forecast down to within 5 percent in terms of the rate of fall off (which is maybe overdoing it in terms of detail) but basically the same prediction as in the last video.
The URL of the previous video is...
https://www.bitchute.com/video/abIlBhcWljFX/

The URL of my COVID playlist is...
https://www.bitchute.com/playlist/rtPW4nMfDFCP/

Correction to the correction.
The shops being packed on New Years Eve was merely due to the shorter opening hours so the spreadsheet I showed is not applicable as that is for shops being packed due to more people or people spending more time in the shops.

You only get linear growth in the rate of infection not exponential growth in that situation.
So the spreadsheet is fine for Christmas shopping but not applicable to days where the shops are just having fewer opening hours.
It still leads to a rise but only linear. For example the same number of shopping minutes but squeazed into half as much time gives you twice as many infections whereas twice as many shopping minutes in the same amount of time gives you four times the exposure.

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Here are the official statistics.

Click on the following link or copy it into the URL textbox in your browser to download the same data I am looking at.
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https://api.coronavirus.data.gov.uk/v2/data?areaType=ltla&metric=newCasesBySpecimenDate&metric=newDeaths60DaysByDeathDate&metric=newDeathsByDeathDate&metric=newOnsDeathsByRegistrationDate&metric=newDeaths28DaysByDeathDate&format=csv
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A large CSV file will then appear in your "download" directory that you can open in Notepad, any spreadsheet program or my CSV editor and querying tool.

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