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Is World War Between the US and China Inevitable?
Is World War Between the US and China Inevitable? The obscenely fast rise of China as a major power over the past few decades has led many to argue that world war between the US and China is a real possibility. Already, we have seen a trade war erupt between the two countries, with tariffs imposed in both directions. The major concern that world war could erupt between the two powerhouses stems from the fact that their relationship contains a historical dynamic which often leads to war: known as the Thucydides trap. In relation to the potential outcome of the relationship between the US and China, some parallels may be found if we look closer at the case when America challenged and surpassed the power of the British Empire.
In relation to whether a hot war between the US and China is inevitable, a key question emerges: how connected was America to the rise of China? The answer, quite simply, is that America was deeply connected to the China’s rise. In fact, the US in many ways facilitated China’s rise on the world stage, as the US under Nixon made the decision to bring China in from isolation. Without Nixon, Kissinger and Rockefeller bringing China in from the cold, it is highly improbable that China would be anywhere near as powerful as it is today. Given the vast amount of connections between America and the rise of China, it seems reasonable to conclude that world war is not inevitable between the two powerhouses.
Sources:
Allison, G. (2018) Destined for War: Can America and China Escape the Thucydides Trap? (London: Scribe).
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Nixon, R. (1967). Asia after Viet Nam. Foreign Affairs, 46(1), 111-125 https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/asia/1967-10-01/asia-after-viet-nam
Quigley, C. (1981) The Anglo-American Establishment (San Pedro: GSG and Associates).
Rockefeller, D. (10 Aug. 1973) From a China Traveler, The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/1973/08/10/archives/from-a-china-traveler.html
Stead, W. T. https://archive.org/details/americanizationo01stea/page/n5/mode/2up
US-China Institute (21 July 2011) Getting to Beijing: Henry Kissinger's Secret 1971 Trip https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip
Venezuela Boundary Dispute, 1895–1899 https://history.state.gov/milestones/1866-1898/venezuela
Creative Commons Imagery - all the rest from https://pixabay.com/ :
Google Earth Timelapse: Beijing, Landsat / Copernicus https://bit.ly/32h8o3R
Department of Defense Petty Officer 3rd Class Ford Williams, US Fires Tomahawk Missiles https://bit.ly/2v1yRpZ
Marines, (U.S. Marine Corps video by Sgt. Matthew Callahan) Artillery Marines Rain Steel https://bit.ly/2V94Z5y
Gryffindor, Philistion https://bit.ly/38JeoEY Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported license https://bit.ly/2PeeiO6 Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 2.5 Generic https://bit.ly/2T2gg55 GNU Free Documentation License https://bit.ly/2PcTeHw
Captain Blood Kenmayer GNU Free Documentation License https://bit.ly/2PcTeHw Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported https://bit.ly/2VjKV0L
Department of Defense Ballistic Missile Defense System https://bit.ly/2wtWhog
World Economic Forum Xi Jinping https://bit.ly/2PqIF43
World Economic Forum Special Address Donald Trump https://bit.ly/2P7lUSk
Britfan97 https://bit.ly/2V82OPR Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 International https://bit.ly/2HDqmEn
Chatham House https://bit.ly/39RF3zw Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic https://bit.ly/3bUXh5a
Chatham House https://bit.ly/2VjO4xB Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic https://bit.ly/2wzi5Pw
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Category | Education |
Sensitivity | Normal - Content that is suitable for ages 16 and over |
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