First published at 17:35 UTC on January 24th, 2022.
When we measure the toxicity of a snake venom, we do so by the number of severe reactions following a bite as a percentage of the total number of people bitten.
So if 100 people were bitten by a snake, and 90% died, we would say that the snake ven…
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When we measure the toxicity of a snake venom, we do so by the number of severe reactions following a bite as a percentage of the total number of people bitten.
So if 100 people were bitten by a snake, and 90% died, we would say that the snake venom was very toxic. However if only a 10% died, we would say it was less toxic.
Pharma use the same method to determine a lethal dose - if it kills over 50% of the recipients then that is the LD50 level for a drug.
So the measure we are using is the % of adverse reaction reports that were severe.
A severe reaction is one that results in death, disability or life threatening illness - and is identified in the VAERS database by having a Y in one or more of those columns.
Measure of Toxicity
= Percentage of adverse reaction reports that are severe
= (deaths + disabilities + life threatening illnesses)/total number of adverse reaction reports
THIS MEASURE IS COMPLETELY INDEPENDENT OF BATCH SIZE.
I looked at all the Moderna lots generating over 100 adverse reaction reports for USA 2021.
I found that the lots varies in toxicity by from 0.4 % to 15% - in other words by 30 fold.
Moderna lots have alphabetic lot numbers and can be gathered together into alphabet groups - each group characterised by a different letter of the alphabet. When I did this, I found that the toxicity of the groups decreased as the alphabet ascended.
If you are interested to read more, I have published additional material at https://howbad.info and also at howbadismybatch.com
My current project is to update all the charts on the website to include a "lethality" rating based on the above measure.
Craig Paardekooper
https://www.howbadismybatch.com
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