No Where To Run Hawaii Hurricane Lane Stronger From Fukushima Radiation Update
Outer rain bands of Hurricane Lane are sweeping across the Big Island and Maui County this morning. Expect increasing showers spreading further northwest to Oahu and Kauai County later this morning. Expect increasing threats for flash flooding as Lane moves further northward and these heavy rain bands intensify over the islands. Hurricane Lane will likely bring life threatening conditions across Hawaii through Saturday with damaging winds, dangerous surf, coastal storm surge and intense flooding rains.
Hurricane lane tracks from https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
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EYE OF LANE PASSES OVER NOAA BUOY 51002 AS THE DANGEROUS HURRICANE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MARCH TOWARD THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
Hurricane Lane remains a major category 4 storm late this morning,with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph. As of 11 AM HST, Hurricane Lane was located around 200 miles south-southwest of Kailua-Kona, Hawaii and 275 miles south of Honolulu, Hawaii. Lane is moving toward the northwest at around 7 mph. A slow northward motion is expected to begin this afternoon and continue through Friday. A turn toward the west is expected Saturday and Sunday, with an increase in forward speed. The latest forecast track from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center brings the center of Lane dangerously close to the main Hawaiian Islands Thursday afternoon through Saturday. Regardless of the exact track, life threatening impacts are likely over many areas as this strong hurricane makes its closest approach. Do not focus on the exact forecast track or intensity of Lane. Be prepared for changes in future forecasts. Although the official forecast does not explicitly indicate Lane's center making landfall over any of the
islands, this could still occur.
The onset of damaging tropical storm-force winds is expected across portions of the Big Island today, with dangerous hurricane force winds expected in some areas by tonight. In Maui County, damaging tropical storm-force winds are expected late today, with dangerous hurricane force winds expected in some areas by Friday. On Oahu, damaging tropical storm force winds are expected to develop late tonight, with dangerous hurricane force winds expected Friday into Friday night. Tropical storm or hurricane conditions are possible on Kauai on Saturday.
Outer rain bands associated with Hurricane Lane are already affecting all the main Hawaiian Islands. Widespread heavy rainfall and flash flooding is ongoing over portions of the Big Island and Maui. The rain bands will continue to spread northwest through Friday. Excessive rainfall is likely which could result in life threatening flash flooding, as well as landslides and mudslides. Flooding will be possible in areas that are typically not prone to flooding. Storm total rainfall amounts of 10 to 20 inches are expected to be common across the island chain, with localized amounts in excess of 30 inches.
Swells generated by Lane will produce very large life-threatening surf and dangerous rip currents along southeast, south and southwest facing shores of all of the Hawaiian islands. Large surf is likely occurring along southeast facing shores on the Big Island. Surf is expected to increase today along southwest facing shores of the Big Island as well as along south and southeast facing shores from Maui County to Kauai County, with the surf becoming extremely large tonight through Saturday. Surf heights as large as 10 to 20 feet are expected along the Kau and Puna coasts of the Big Island, 10 to 15 feet along the Kona coast, and 10 to 20 feet along south and southeast facing coasts from Kauai County to Maui County.
The combination of storm surge and large breaking waves is expected toraise water levels well above normal tide levels as Hurricane Lane makes its closest approach. Water levels could reach 2 to 4 feet above normal along southeast, south and southwest facing shores from Kauai to Maui, as well as southeast, south, southwest and west facing shores of the Big Island, provided that Lane makes landfall. This is expected to result in significant beach erosion and overwash onto vulnerable coastal roadways today through Saturday as Lane makes its closest approach, particularly for vulnerable low-lying coastal areas during and around the time of the normal high tide cycles.
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