Polling Analysis #3 – Dr. Thies Trump Can Win!, 3275
Good evening, I’m still reporting on the polls.
Just as predicted, the ridiculously embarrassing poll predictions touted by the MSM are starting to fold already – 17 days out from election day. Here’s the latest: in the crucial battleground states Biden’s pretend lead is less than 5 points.
Dr. Clifford Thies, the distinguished professor of economics and finance at Shenandoah University in Winchester, Virginia is on the case of these fake polls again, and he says that even this latest improvement doesn’t tell the whole story.
“As best I can measure it, there’s a 3-point bias in live-caller polls that attempt to be neutral.
“There is a further bias due to skew. As I measure it, 1.5 points in this poll. (I used the 2016 turnout model, adjusted for the change in voter registration from 2016 to 2020 to model turnout and, therefore skew.)
“So, as I reckon it, Trump is up 0.3 points in the nationwide popular vote, not down 4.3 points as this poll indicates.”
What Dr. Thies is saying is that he can find hard evidence that these polls are off by at least 4.5 points right now. He continued:
“Polls can and do move a lot during the final weeks of a campaign. I think continued good news on the economy and the pandemic, and the October surprise sprung on Biden by Rudy, could move the dial decidedly to Trump's advantage.”
“The bottom line, with 17 days to go, from the momentum I see, Trump can win again.”
I still think the bias and skews are even bigger but it’s not something you can prove by evidence. It can not be garnered scientifically from polling skews and biases.
Yup, here comes the monster vote 2.0, roaring across the fruited plains again.
You would have to produce an awful lot of phony mail-in ballots to overcome the overwhelming ROAR of Monster Vote 2.0
But these sorry pollsters don’t care about backing up these nonsensical polling results after the election with facts – the facts are that they are bogus. These people are all in – flat out – willing to say anything, do anything, to defeat Trump because they know that if Trump wins, he will do 10 times the damage to the minions of Satan than he did in his first 4 years.
For the MOS, it’s quite literally do or die.
Look at this from Trump’s rally in Carson City, Nevada and compare that to Joe Biden’s rally today where he managed to scrape 20 cars together and 50 people to talk to. There were probably more media there than Biden supporters.
This Biden candidacy is completely artificial – created with smoke and mirrors and only a vapor compared to the Trump rallies. Look at the energy of Trump on the stump. Compare that to Sleepy Joe.
I’m still reporting from just outside the citadel of American freedom. Good day.
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