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Mars Colonization Timeline w/ Starship | Crew Dragon ISS Update
As you all liked our previous prediction on how human spaceflight will unfold in the next decades, we've decided to do an updated Mars colonization timeline now, including both the SpaceX Starship orbital prototype development in the near future and Elon Musk's Mars colonization plan in the a bit more distant future.
A Falcon 9 rocket once again successfully delivered SpaceX Cargo Dragon capsule to the ISS within the CRS-19 Commercial Resupply Service mission for NASA.
Boeing CST-100 Starliner crew capsule is now mounted onto a ULA Atlas V rocket for the upcoming uncrewed test flight to the ISS.
We expect SpaceX Crew Dragon launching NASA astronauts to the ISS by mid 2020, after the critical Crew Dragon in-flight abort test takes place within the next few weeks.
The first step for SpaceX Mars roadmap is of course the testing of the Mk3 and Mk4 SpaceX Starship test rocket in the next two years. The Mk4 Starship prototype could already deliver the first cargoes to the Moon in 2021.
By 2022, SpaceX Starship orbital refueling technology should be well developed. Moreover, Starship and Super Heavy production seriously starts to ramp up thanks to the new huge revenues from the Starlink broadband satellite internet service. Two unmanned Starships will be sent towards Mars within the 2022 Mars orbit transfer window and the first Elon Musk Mars landing takes place.
The success of the Dearmoon mission in 2023 convinces NASA to scrap SLS and instead charter SpaceX Starship to bring their astronauts back to the moon in 2024 for their Artemis program.
In the 2024 Mars orbit transfer window, two further unmanned Starship missions are sent to Mars and deliver the first SpaceX Mars transportation infrastructure to the Erebus Montes region, a preferred site for building future Mars bases.
The first SpaceX Mars human mission takes place in the 2026 window, with a new Starship design incorporating artificial gravity and radiation shielding for the astronauts on board.
In late 2030s, regular Starship travel between Mars and Earth is established and the population of Mars colonies grows beyond 10,000 people.
Category | Science & Technology |
Sensitivity | Normal - Content that is suitable for ages 16 and over |
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