Good afternoon, I’m still reporting on the coup.
First of all a correction. I said in my last report that the campaign video was recent. It was not, It was actually done by a non-official Trump supporter during the run-up to the 2016 election..
Second…
Good afternoon, I’m still reporting on the coup.
First of all a correction. I said in my last report that the campaign video was recent. It was not, It was actually done by a non-official Trump supporter during the run-up to the 2016 election..
Secondly, I have frequently stated that COVID-19 is just the flu. I was convinced today by a physician that it is not. It is a virus that has never before appeared on Earth, and that is very significant. We will report on yet another legacy drug that completely kills this virus later today.
It seems like every day someone asks me start my series on presidential polling because no one can believe – even Desperados – that Joe Biden is running 10 points ahead of President Trump:
[insert Maria]
Obviously Navarro doesn’t understand why it is, he, like most people, just know it can’t be true. So here we go, in broad, general terms.
If you pay any attention to the polls, it appears that Joe Biden hiding in his basement and occasionally making mumbling, disjointed statements in videos is winning.
One comment about those video releases by the Biden campaign, imagine what the ones they aren’t releasing look like. It’s a reasonable, obvious assumption that the videos that are released are the best they have been able to produce. Wouldn’t it be interesting to see the ones they don’t release?
But if you believe the polls, by doing nothing but appearing to be a confused elderly man, Biden is, according to the MSM, way ahead in the polls.
Nobody is expecting Biden to win by 9 points, but some polls say if the election were held today, he would. The standard explanation from pollsters is that races tighten close to the election. However, another explanation is that pollsters not wanting to be completely embarrassed, produce more accurate polls closer to the election when people are given a way to judge the accuracy of the polls.
However, in a presidential race national polls mean nothing, because there is no national election for president; something Hillary Clinton learned the hard way. The presidential race is about 51 individual races, most winner take all as far as electors go. And yes, it is 51 because the people in the District of Columbia get to vote for president or to be more precise get to elect three of the 538 electors to the Electoral College which elects the president.
The Daily Torch on Thursday, June 25 posted figures on the 2016 polls in late June. For those who may have forgotten how that race came out, Trump won with 304 electoral votes and 270 is a majority. It may not have been the biggest win ever, or even a landslide, but it was a decisive win. Yet the pollsters were united in predicting that Hillary Clinton would win.
The article notes that in mid-June of 2016 a Quinnipiac poll had Clinton up in Florida by 8 points. Trump won Florida by 2 points, so the poll was off by a whopping 10 points in other words 10 percent. A 10% margin is not insignificant. It is better known in political terms as a landslide.
Knowing that most presidential races are won or lost by less than 10 percent, almost anyone could have guessed and come up with a more accurate prediction than this Florida poll.
The national polls are easily skewed because it’s generally accepted that the two of the largest states California and New York will be won by the Democratic candidate. Therefore, putting a lot of money and propaganda efforts into conjuring up fake polls in just a few so-called swing-states is a very effective use of resources.
But even the swing states are used to skewed predictions. For example, North Carolina is almost universally listed as a swing state which should mean that it could go either way in the presidential election.
But in the last 48 years the state has voted for the Democratic presidential candidate twice. And before that they voted for a brand of conservatism then known as Southern Democrats.
President Barack Obama won North Carolina by about .32 percent of the vote in 2008. President Jimmy Carter, who was governor of the adjacent state of Georgia won the state in 1976.
Otherwise North Carolina has voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every race since 1968 which means that George H.W. Bush in 1992, Bob Dole in 1996, and Mitt Romney in 2012 all won North Carolina while losing the election. So, despite changing demographics, North Carolina is not really a swing state, but according to the national pundits it is. So who do you want to believe?
It’s for sure that this year the polls are starting off much worse than 4 years ago, and my prediction is that they are going to be pretty much worthless until the last month, if not right up to election day.
Why? Because this is the big one, it’s all or nothing for the minions of Satan, and they know it. Right now, the polls are just another propaganda arm of the coupsters. Their goal is to try to convince you that Trump’s chances are hopeless, so why work hard? And you se
