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The probability of coincidences: when is a coincidence not a coincidence?

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First published at 20:01 UTC on December 29th, 2023.

Norman Fenton

normanfenton

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A husband and wife both die of the same rare disease within a short space of time. Like winning the jackpot lottery twice, most people assume it's too much of a coincidence for it to happen purely by chance. But such 'incredible coincidences' are actually very likely. This video goes through the probability calculations for these types of problems

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Category	Education
Sensitivity	Normal - Content that is suitable for ages 16 and over

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