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Watch the interview: https://youtu.be/g29i0x-shos?si=aMUMhLX4YcKHka9Y
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Cuban exiles enjoy nostalgia for the homes and times they once knew. Those days are long gone, and they will never return. Honduras is creeping toward the same fate.
Impunity Observer Publisher Fergus Hodgson comments on his article "The Exodus Is Turning Honduras into Cuba" and explains why this exodus will grow exponentially if socialist policies and autocratic trends continue.
Read the article: https://impunityobserver.com/2024/04/08/the-exodus-is-turning-honduras-into-cuba/
Read in Spanish: https://www.latribuna.hn/2024/04/07/el-exodo-esta-convirtiendo-a-honduras-en-una-nueva-cuba/
#cuba #honduras #socialism
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#cuba #cubanews
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#china #darien #tiktok
The Impunity Observer podcast is scaling up to a weekly episode and new formats that allow us to get closer to our audience. Our contributor Mauro Echeverría begins this weekly series with a deeper look at one of his investigations.
His latest investigation revealed that a rising number of Chinese citizens are flying to Ecuador, where they begin their journey north. Echeverría discusses how he conducted the research—which included reaching out to three human smugglers and a Google Trends analysis—and his findings.
For him, despite restrictions from the Chinese Communist Party, social media plays a major role in helping Chinese citizens obtain information about zouxian. That is a term coined by Chinese citizens to describe the risky route to the United States by land, much of it on foot.
Read the investigation here: https://impunityobserver.com/2024/03/05/how-chinese-illegals-get-to-united-states/
#ecuador #migration #china
In an interview for ContraPoder, Andrés Sebastián Díaz explained the Ecuadorian government made a hasty political decision by breaking into the Mexican embassy. This decision disregarded the potential effects on trade and migration.
Watch the full interview: https://youtu.be/2YuSwd94GGA?si=NVMAul48T-SXTItB
Read more analyses by Andrés Sebastián Díaz: https://impunityobserver.com/author/sebas-diaz/
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#cuba #ukrainerussiawar #cubanews
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#cuba #humanrights #cubadecide
Rosa María Payá, founder of nonprofit Cuba Decide and daughter of assassinated Cuban political dissident Oswaldo Payá, took the floor on the last day of the examination of Cuba by the UN Human Rights Council. Her petition was simple: expel Cuba from the council. A Cuban official responded by attacking her character, but he said nothing in response to her summary of the regime's activities.
The Impunity Observer reached out to Payá to learn firsthand what motivated her speech. In addition to broad and consistent violations of human rights on the island, Payá stressed that Cuba has been an instrumental partner to Russia during the invasion of Ukraine.
Over 2,000 Cuban youth are serving with the Russian front in Ukraine, and the regime forbids young males to leave the island without permission. Moreover, the dictatorship has been echoing Russia Today’s programming—bypassing sanctions—and broadcasting it worldwide.
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2024/04/09/cuban-regime-cannot-refute-rosa-maria-paya #Cuba #HumanRights #RosaMaríaPayá
Watch the interview: https://youtu.be/yoBFmdh9k9E?si=zEoVx7rhY2ruMSVL
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#guatemala #politics #unitedstates
Watch the interview: https://youtu.be/E6sTGUtBY_0
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#ecuador #politics #taxes
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#taxes #ecuador #drugtrafficking
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#guatemala #politics #unitedstates
Fernando Linares—a Guatemalan lawyer and former congressman—has initiated the legal process to remove the president and 24 congressmen. All belong to President Bernardo Arévalo’s suspended Semilla party. According to Linares, this party has committed numerous illegalities, such as falsely registering more than 8,000 members to qualify for the ballot. He explains that the Supreme Electoral Tribunal should annul the 2023 elections and hold fresh elections in 2024.
For Linares, the 2023 Guatemalan presidential election was a fraud. He contends that the US State Department and the European Union catapulted then unknown Arévalo to qualify and eventually win the electoral runoff. With the fraud, he contends, foreign socialist bureaucrats will have a globalist in office in Guatemala, an otherwise conservative nation.
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2024/03/01/fernando-linares-election-results-do-not-pass-smell-test/
Luis Espinosa Goded—a Spanish professor of economics at San Francisco University of Quito, Ecuador—explains how citizens and private businesses will pay a high price for the government's conflict with narcoterrorists. Curfew impositions, reduced mobility, and narco extortion are already some ways in which individuals—rather than the state or the narcos—are suffering from the escalating conflict that has inflamed the nation.
For Espinosa Goded, Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa’s strategy of a higher value-added tax to purportedly finance the war against narcos hurts citizens instead of criminals. Noboa could have instead tightened government spending elsewhere to free up taxpayer resources. Espinosa Goded highlights that the Ecuadorian economy is in a dire situation, so the tax increase is a blow to businesses and individuals who cannot afford it.
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2024/02/28/luis-espinosa-goded-ecuadorians-not-criminals-pay-narco-war/
Watch the interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmNP5EcYEps
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#Argentina #Milei #politics
Martín Litwak—an Argentine tax and wealth structuring expert—explains that the next three months are key to the Javier Milei administration for implementation of liberal reforms. Milei is enjoying a honeymoon period, and Argentines are on their summer vacations.
Although Litwak expressed his excitement regarding a liberal government to be in power in Argentina and deregulate the economy, he is concerned the Milei administration has not led with tax cuts. Litwak contends that although Argentina has 170 taxes, 10 of them generate more than 92 percent of the state’s revenue. Further, since the burden is so high there is the potential to remove the other 160 and still bring in more revenue, following the logic of the Laffer Curve.
For Litwak, Milei’s presidency can be either a total success or a complete failure; there is no middle ground. The latter will be a disaster for Argentina, since it will invite a return to power of Peronismo. Litwak also contends that the left will continue to fight in the streets against the incumbent administration’s policies.
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2024/01/15/martin-litwak-javier-milei-must-target-toxic-taxation/
Mauro Echeverría—deputy editor of the Impunity Observer—and Sebastián Díaz—policy analyst with the Impunity Observer—explain the internal armed conflict in Ecuador. For them, the violence has been increasing since 2020. Díaz adds that gangs declared war on Ecuador after Adolfo “Fito” Macías, leader of the Los Choneros gang, escaped from prison on January 7. Since then, gangs have occupied many streets, firing on anyone in their way, and taken control of a TV network and a university.
Díaz contends that the lack of state control in prisons has been an ongoing problem for the past three years. He adds that gangs have turned prisons into their operation centers. Currently, law enforcement agencies are attacking and capturing gang members in the streets, but there are no official statements regarding the situation inside the prisons.
Díaz and Echeverría analyze the reactions to the violence crisis from politicians in the Americas such as US Representative María Elvira Salazar (R-FL) and Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado. Díaz explains that even former socialist president and fugitive Rafael Correa sent a message backing the armed forces. In the same message, Correa played the victim by saying he was suffering from political persecution.
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2024/01/11/narcoterrorists-declare-war-on-ecuador-spanish/
José Luis González Dubón—a Guatemalan lawyer, university professor, and independent journalist—explains the irregularities associated with President-Elect Bernardo Arévalo’s Semilla party. These include more than 8,000 forged signatures used to register the party. He contends that international community members such as the Organization of American States were accomplices to electoral fraud and favored their preferred candidate: Arévalo.
For González, Arévalo should not take office in January 2024 because it is immoral and unlawful. If Arévalo does not take office, he explains, Congress must elect a temporary president and vice president until Guatemala holds a new presidential election.
González contends that the US State Department’s modus operandi in Guatemala is to sanction its adversaries—anyone who promotes sovereignty and the rule of law—by revoking their US travel visas. He adds that the State Department has violated laws in the United States and Guatemala by applying the Engel List arbitrarily in Guatemala, where civilians and politicians have seen their US visas revoked.
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/12/14/how-foreigners-were-accomplices-to-electoral-fraud-in-guatemala/
Carlos Torrebiarte—a director with the Association for the Defense of Private Property and a Nuestro Diario weekly columnist—explains how the US Embassy in Guatemala revoked his and his wife’s US travel visa. He contends that the embassy did this to spite him for speaking up against “the policies that the United States wants to impose in Guatemala.”
For Torrebiarte, the Prosecutor General’s Office must continue its investigation of the Semilla party's fraudulent registration. He explains that if Semilla goes unpunished, it could lead to similar situations in future elections.
Torrebiarte contends that US officials should not meddle in Guatemala’s internal affairs, especially in a dishonest way that reduces electoral integrity. He adds that the majority of citizens do not trust the electoral system and that this undermines democracy and the rule of law. Further, Torrebiarte claims citizens self-censor because they are afraid to speak up against US actions in Guatemala.
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/12/04/guatemalan-loses-visa-after-condemning-us-meddling/
Adam Dubove, cofounder and director of financial-intelligence service Ichimoku Fibonacci, and Eduardo Marty, founder and president of the Foundation for Intellectual Responsibility in Argentina, contend that Argentine President-Elect Javier Milei has a historic opportunity to succeed in his incoming administration.
Milei, however, needs to work his way through Congress—where his party does not have a majority. Further, he needs to find a competent team to execute his market-liberalization plan.
For Marty, former President Mauricio Macri behaved as a statesman by supporting Milei in the runoff election. Macri did so the day after his preferred candidate lost in the first round of the election. This helped Milei to win the runoff against Peronista candidate and Economy Minister Sergio Massa.
For Marty, Milei is better prepared intellectually than right-leaning politicians such as Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro or the United States’s Donald Trump. Dubove and Marty agree that Milei’s team will follow Ecuador, El Salvador, and Panama’s dollarization strategy. However, they note that unions and other collectivists will aggressively resist Milei’s classical-liberal ideas.
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/11/21/argentina-libertarian-moment/
Watch the interview: https://americasvoice.news/video/pXALbVp491WKCuH/
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#Biden #Trump #totalitarianism
Maribel Espinoza—a Honduran congresswoman of the Salvador Party—contends that Xiomara Castro’s socialist Libre Party is on a mission to control every branch of the state. She explains that Libre congressmen have violated the Honduran Constitution and the Public Ministry Law with their appointment of a new attorney general. The decision has been in stalemate since August, so the past appointee, Daniel Sibrián, has remained in his position past his planned departure.
Article 205 of the Constitution establishes that Congress must gather at least 86 votes out of 128 members (a two-thirds majority) to elect new Public Ministry authorities. However, only nine Libre congressmen appointed a new attorney general. Opposition congressmen are working to reverse the appointment of Johel Zelaya, who has no experience in criminal prosecution and appears to merely be the candidate most aligned with Libre.
For Espinoza, Congress failed to appoint the new attorney general earlier because incumbent Libre refused to negotiate for votes during congressional sessions. She explains that the Castro administration will accept no one but an attorney general loyal to them, so they can politicize justice in the country: “The real motivation behind this appointment is not to fight corruption.”
Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/11/06/maribel-espinoza-libre-party-skirts-law-to-appoint-attorney-general/
The Impunity Observer is a geopolitical intelligence service focused on the rule of law and aligning US and Latin American interests.