Impunity Observer

Arturo Damm Arnal—economics and philosophy professor at Panamerican University in Mexico—explains how a coalition of three traditional parties will challenge Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s Morena party. The National Action Party (PAN), the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD), and the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) have named Xóchitl Gálvez, an indigenous woman, as their presidential candidate for the June 2024 election. Damm Arnal contends the main difference between Gálvez and Morena candidate Claudia Sheinbaum is that Gálvez understands and favors the role of business in the economy.

For Damm Arnal, although Sheinbaum started the electoral race as the clear favorite, it is still too early to predict the winner. The election's importance, though, is clear: the upcoming election will be fundamental to recovering the separation of powers in Mexico, which the incumbent administration has undermined.

Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/09/25/two-female-candidates-show-realignment-of-mexican-politics/

Watch the interview: https://youtube.com/live/uaSxBBKTN1k

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#Ecuador #Villavicencio #violencia

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#Ecuador #Villavicencio #violencia

Alisa Gray—interim training and assessment specialist at the Voting System Technical Oversight Program (VSTOP)—and Chad Kinsella—co-director of VSTOP—visited Guatemala as foreign electoral observers. They explain the role of foreign observers in the Guatemalan general elections on June 25. Further, Gray and Kinsella describe the main procedural differences between elections in Guatemala and Indiana, United States. These differences include the use of paper ballots and manual vote counting in Guatemala instead of digital processes in Indiana.

For Gray and Kinsella, some Guatemalans were frustrated with the presidential candidates on the ballot, which could explain the large number of void and blank votes. In addition, they contend that voting polls in Guatemala had the presence of multiple parties’ representatives. Gray added that the observers’ trip from Indiana to Guatemala was an important educational experience.

Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/07/25/what-indiana-observers-saw-at-the-guatemalan-elections/

Chiara Barchiesi—Chilean congresswoman and founder of the Republican Party—explains that citizens rejected the previous constitutional draft because it ignored the country’s reality and key principles such as the rule of law. She contends that the Republican Party—which has 22 of 51 advisers that will write the new constitutional draft—will work for the people and their problems.

Barchiesi, who was elected when she was 24 years old, says the Republican Party is open to negotiations with leftist parties during the ongoing constitutional process. On the other hand, she contends there are principles such as freedom and private property that cannot be dismissed. Barchiesi adds that the Gabriel Boric administration lied to Chileans during the electoral campaign and they are realizing it.

Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/07/13/chile-republican-party-founder-seeks-citizen-unity-spanish/

Watch the interview here: https://youtu.be/PyOdY1n1vRI

#Milei #Argentina #CFK

For Agustín Etchebarne—director at the Freedom and Progress Foundation—Argentines have the opportunity to change the country’s course in the October 2023 presidential election. He explains how Javier Milei's rise, as a classical-liberal economist and presidential candidate, will take votes from both the Peronistas and the Mauricio Macri-led opposition. Either way, there will most likely be a runoff between the final two candidates.

Etchebarne asserts that the next president, if he manages to reduce public spending, will face stiff opposition from crony-oriented lobbies and the media. He also contends that Argentines perceive the economic crisis as the country's chief policy challenge. However, increasing crime is a second priority for citizens.

Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/06/13/javier-milei-is-a-game-changer-agustin-etchebarne/

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#Politics #USA #Postmodernism

For Emmanuel Rincón—senior editor at Americano Media—María Corina Machado is the best option to face Nicolás Maduro in next year’s presidential election. Machado is leading in the polls for the 2023 opposition primary election in Venezuela, and Rincón contends that most opposition members are controlled opposition: socialists who promote leftist policies. An electoral victory by this “fake” opposition would only offer new faces, while the failed socialist structure would remain in place.

Regarding the relationship between the United States and Venezuela, Rincón explains that the Joe Biden administration is providing oxygen to the Chavista regime by easing sanctions on oil exports. In addition, the US government released two of Maduro’s nephews, who were sentenced to more than eight years in prison for narcotrafficking.

Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/05/15/emmanuel-rincon-maria-corina-machado-is-true-opposition-leader/

Watch the interview here: https://www.youtube.com/live/ioYoc4UlW5Y?feature=share

#USA #Politics #FreeSpeech

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For Daniel Runde—director of the Project on Prosperity and Development at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)—the Chinese regime has met infrastructure and economic demands that US aid to Latin America has overlooked. He warns that China seeks global dominance in economic spheres, with negative implications for Western values.

Runde, author of The American Imperative: Reclaiming Global Leadership through Soft Power (2023), contends that China’s ballooning presence in Latin America portends significant changes in power dynamics worldwide. He also asserts the United States has not been reciprocal with Guatemala, one of the US most steadfast allies that still recognizes Taiwan.

Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/04/11/the-united-states-must-use-soft-power-to-counter-chinese/

Watch the interview here: https://youtu.be/mDZ4ybroCYQ

Follow the Impunity Observer on Twitter at @ObserveImpunity.

Rafael Curruchiche—Guatemalan special prosecutor against impunity since August 2021—shares how the Special Prosecutor’s Office against Impunity (FECI) has been used in previous years to persecute political opponents. For example, former FECI chief Juan Francisco Sandoval—praised on multiple occasions by the US State Department—has four active arrest warrants for abuse of authority, breach of duty, and obstruction of judicial processes.

Curruchiche contends his own inclusion on the Engel List of purportedly corrupt and/or antidemocratic actors is mainly a political decision of the US State Department. He has not been able to present his side of the story. Unlike those who prepare the Engel List, Curruchiche believes public workers in FECI must follow due process and set a precedent of robust legal cases.

Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/03/15/guatemalan-prosecutor-alleges-persecution-state-department/

Mauricio Alarcón-Salvador—the executive director of the Foundation for Citizenship and Development (FCD)—explains why Ecuadorians rejected President Guillermo Lasso’s referendum in the February 5 elections. It included proposals to allow the extradition of Ecuadorian drug traffickers and to reduce congressmen from 137 to 121. He also contends that Correísmo has become the largest political force in the country after the elections.

Due to nationwide discontent, Alarcón-Salvador fears Lasso might not be able to finish his term, which is supposed to end in 2025. For Alarcón-Salvador, the Lasso administration will continue to face a governability crisis for its remaining years in power. He adds that the increase in electoral violence directly correlates with the exponential growth of narcopolitics in Ecuador.

Show notes: https://impunityobserver.com/2023/02/09/the-rising-specter-of-rafael-correa-over-ecuador-spanish/

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