Slides, followed by SAGE report
SAGE, 12th July
Prevalence of infection across the UK
England, Scotland, Wales, R = 1.2 to 1.5
Scotland and Wales = 1.3 to 1.6
England, estimated 21,000 and 42,000 new infections per day
England, around 400 COVID-19 hospital admissions day
Ethnic minorities have been more affected
Reductions in morbidity and mortality in hospital patients
Due to the lower average age of patients and vaccination
Initial results from human challenge studies in unvaccinated young adults
Remain several factors which are not known, some of which cannot be determined before the step is taken
Therefore, peak of the next wave cannot be predicted with accuracy
Key uncertainties are changes in behaviours
(which may be different in different groups)
How quickly variables return to pre-pandemic levels
Vaccine effectiveness uptake
All modelled scenarios show a period of extremely high prevalence of infection lasting until at least the end of August
There are four major risks
Increase in hospitalisations and deaths
Long-COVID workforce absences
Increased risk of new variants emerging
High prevalence and high levels of vaccination = an immune escape variant
(likelihood of this happening is unknown)
Challenge to testing, contact tracing..
|Category||News & Politics|
|Sensitivity||Normal - Content that is suitable for ages 16 and over|
Warning - This video exceeds your sensitivity preference!
To dismiss this warning and continue to watch the video please click on the button below.
Note - Autoplay has been disabled for this video.
This advertisement has been selected by the BitChute platform.
By purchasing and/or using the linked product you are helping to cover the costs of running BitChute. Without the support of the community this platform will cease to exist.
Registered users can opt-out of receiving advertising via the Interface tab on their Settings page.
To help support BitChute or find out more about our creator monetization policy: