Tom welcomes back Lawrence Lepard of Equity Management Associates to the show.
Lawrence expresses skepticism towards the reported 4.9% annualized GDP growth in the US, believing it to be falsely inflated due to the exclusion of essential goods like…
Tom welcomes back Lawrence Lepard of Equity Management Associates to the show.
Lawrence expresses skepticism towards the reported 4.9% annualized GDP growth in the US, believing it to be falsely inflated due to the exclusion of essential goods like gasoline and food. He also discusses the government's history of manipulating inflation and employment reports, urging investors to take all government information with a grain of salt and only consider what is true when making investment decisions.
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Lepard touches upon the current state of the media and the role of the internet in disintermediating large organizations like CNN and Fox News. They agree that the internet allows for more direct access to truth, but caution against the abundance of "noise" on the web.
The conversation shifts to the financial markets, with Lepard stating that they are currently broken. He points to the recent failure of Silicon Valley Bank as evidence, and believes that the government's response of printing more money is only hiding the truth. He predicts that inflation will be a major problem in the next 10 years and advises investors to consider this dynamic when making investment decisions.
Lepard discusses the possibility of a sovereign currency crisis in the US, similar to those seen in third world countries. They point to the high interest expense of one trillion dollars a year due to the deficit, and estimate that this will only increase in the next few years. They also discuss the fragility of the world's economy, bank losses, and the potential consequences of excessive borrowing.
The conversation then turns to the role of gold in protecting against inflation and the current divergence between gold mining stocks and the price of gold. Lepard predicts that gold will rise to $3000 in the next five years and that silv..
